Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Odds of predicting the results of all 67 games in the NCAA tourney

With 67 games played, trying to predict the outcome of 67 coin tosses is 1 over 2^67 or 1 in 147,573,952,589,676,412,928. That's about one in 147 quintillion (less likely than winning 24 consecutive games of solitaire). Let's assume over half the games are indeed predictable with assorted nags taking on the better teams. 1 over 2^33 is only 1 in 8,589,934,592 (less likely than winning 13 consecutive games of solitaire). Hot diggity,  I think their money is safe.

No comments:

Post a Comment